Negative Buzz Increases Post Launch of “Cash for Clunkers”

In the two months prior to the official launch of the CARS (Car Allowance Rebate System) program, 10.5 percent of all discussions were positive, while an additional 10.7 percent of the discussion focused on actual intent to purchase a car through the Clunkers program. On the other side of the argument, 7.9 percent of the discussions were negative, containing sentiments like this New York Times blog comment:

“The worst part about this program is that the government is encouraging people to take on more debt. Those clunkers are mostly PAID FOR. Why on earth are we telling U.S. citizens to go and take out another big loan on a depreciating asset? It’s absolutely ridiculous.”

While positive sentiment around the U.S. government’s program outweighed the negative in the weeks prior to the launch of the program, bloggers began to shift their opinions in the week following the official launch, with negative buzz increasing to 10.1 percent of all discussions and conversations that focused on purchase intent fell to 7.1 percent. As the program quickly ran out of money, negative buzz again increased, growing to 11.4 percent while intent to buy continued its downward trajectory, this time falling to 6.1 percent of all CARS discussions online.

CARS.gov Attracts the Wealthy

Online visitors were also heading over to the government Web site created specifically for the program, www.cars.gov. Month-over-month, unique visitors to the site increased 733 percent, from 287,000 unique visitors in June 2009 to 2.4 million in July. Unique visitors between the ages of 35 and 49 were 35 percent more likely than the average Internet user to visit cars.gov. Contrary to what many may assume, visitors to the site also over-indexed among the wealthy. People who make between $100k and $149k were 33 percent more likely to visit the site, and visitors who earned over $150k were 36 percent more likely to visit the site in July.

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Just as the offline conversation about health care reform is growing in the U.S., we are watching the online discussion grow and evolve as well. In the past month, health care reform discussions have increased by more than 1,000 percent, outpacing the online talk surrounding Swine Flu and the government’s “Cash for Clunkers” program.

President Obama is keenly aware of the important role that bloggers play in sharing information about health care reform. On July 20, the President called for bloggers to help drum up support for his health care bill, causing another jump in online conversation in the days that followed. The White House has also been using Twitter to get the message out to the public. Of the 24 tweets that have been sent out in the last two weeks, 14 have been about health care reform.

Online discussion about health care reform – like offline discussion – is highly polarized. YouTube chronicles of recent protests at various public town hall meetings (which have been at the top of the list for most-cited videos in the last week), may have created an assumption that most citizens are strongly against the reform. However, in the past week there has been a slightly larger Web presence of those in support of reform, although the split is fairly narrow and is similar to other national polls on the topic. The bottom line is that the conversation is growing on both sides of the debate, as the following chart shows.

Much of the conversation centers around sharing the latest information on the health care reform debate, with both sides adding their own spin and attempting to debunk myths and misconceptions. The discussion is also highly charged, with some bloggers engaging in one-on-one arguments that degenerate to insults and name-calling. Some of these conversations are taking a very ugly turn, as we have seen them do in person as well.

While the health care reform conversation is taking place continues to grow in online political blogs and forums, it does not represent a significant share of conversations occurring on health care sites. Although patients may have the most at stake in health care reform, the conversations about this reform tend to be more political in nature and are less prominent in health forums and communities.

As the debate rages, consumers are increasingly turning to the official White House Web site to understand the key issues. In the last month, unique visitors to the health care pages of Whitehouse.gov have increased 390 percent, from 41,000 unique visitors in June 2009 to 201,000 in July. The administration has also established a site specifically dedicated to debunking the health care reform myths, www.whitehouse.gov/realitycheck.

Where do you stand?