Despite ticket prices of up to $25, audiences flocked to 3-D premium offerings in 2008. Several blockbusters, like “The Dark Knight,” also benefited from the premium pricing associated with Imax viewing. 3-D offerings also fared well in complimentary areas; preliminary numbers indicate the “Hannah Montana and Miley Cyrus: Best of Both Worlds” 3-D video-on-demand concert on STARZ On Demand has already garnered hundreds of thousands of views.

According to a recent study by Nielsen, gross sales increased by more than 65% for films exhibited in 3-D (versus traditional film only) — due to premium pricing and higher attendance.

But not all theaters are created equal.  According to Nielsen, the breakeven point for individual theaters depends on several factors, including the total number of screens and 3-D installation costs.

Another major factor is the total number of 3-D movies released by the industry.  According to a separate study by Nielsen, that magic number is twelve — as in, if twelve 3-D movie titles are released in 2009, all theaters — both large and small — will see profits.

With as many as 11 major movie releases expected to hit the screens in 2009, including Dreamworks’ “Monsters vs. Aliens,” there’s a good chance theaters will be seeing “green” in 3-D.

Read the full study: “Nice To Have Or A Must Have: A look At 3-D films.”

View a related webinar: “Pursuing 3-D, In A 2-D World.”

Read Nielsen’s recent 3-D payout analysis: “The Financiers Weigh In: A Go/No Go Payoff Analysis of 3-D Installation.”

Is the outlook any brighter for the new year?  Food marketing expert Phil Lempert, of SupermarketGuru.com, offers his take on what consumers and retailers can expect in 2009.

Nielsen Wire: How did consumer habits change in 2008 — and how should retailers adjust?

Phil Lempert:
In 2008 shoppers used more coupons, bought more store brands, and started using shopping lists again. I have little doubt that these “learnings” will stay with many of these shoppers through their lifetimes — the same way our grandparents who lived through the depression held on to many of the values learned through that experience. At the same time, shoppers have become smarter – they are reading more labels and asking more questions. They are also demanding better service and the chance to be heard, which is a new challenge for retailers who are trying to hold down payroll costs.

In a recent consumer survey we conducted for Readers Digest Entertaining Group, 72% of shoppers said that they will continue to use the shopping strategies they’ve discovered over the past six months even when the economy recovers. The rules have changed, and more than ever the consumer is the commander of the shopping experience.

My recommendation to retailers and manufacturers is to strengthen your relationship with your current customers and to reach out to new ones. People are nervous and looking for stability and accountability — those who offer both will win.

Nielsen Wire: How else are retail grocery stores adjusting to the struggling economy?

Phil Lempert:
With higher costs and lower available capital, many retailers will be struggling to keep their operations at an acceptable level (acceptable to both their shoppers and themselves). At the same time, many stores are in need of new technology at the front end in order to comply with the new extended bar code, as well as preparing for RFID compatibility.

The move to build smaller stores (10,000 – 15,000 square feet) – led by Walmart and Tesco – may be one solution. Significantly reduced overhead and employee costs allow this format to be profitable with much smaller volume (and may well prove to be exactly the format aging baby boomers, in particular, are looking for). The concept of having one superstore in a community, with dozens of satellite stores dotting neighborhoods will be tested over the next year, and I suspect it will be the winning formula in many locales.

Nielsen Wire: Other than prices, what factors will affect consumer choices in grocery aisles in 2009?

Phil Lempert:
In the same Reader’s Digest survey I mentioned earlier, 76% of people said they were bored with the foods they were eating and wanted more new products and recipes. Look for the winners in all categories to be those national brands that innovate (think Healthy Choice’s steamer line of frozen foods) or bring in new flavors (Budweiser Chelada) to satisfy convenience and flavor, while staying within the constraints of our new value equation.

Clearly, there has been a shift towards “local.” People want to know where their products come from — especially imports. Now, consumers expect packaged goods to identify their source, much as bottled water has done for decades. Hunt’s canned tomatoes, which are grown and packed in California, and ice creams that contain blueberries from Maine are just two examples of the transparency that will become increasingly common in grocery stores. Marketing the source, quality, and taste of ingredients will become the advertising sweet spot in 2009.

Nielsen Wire: How have advertising and marketing strategies changed for grocers in this economy?

Phil Lempert:
The old ad model does not deliver the sales or influence that it once did, which is why brands and retailers have moved on to new media that are less costly, faster, more targeted to produce, and instantly measurable. The medium is certainly the message these days, and the old mode ad vehicle simply doesn’t appeal to future consumers. Advertisers must think more holistically about their advertising — and forget the idea that buying time on the Super Bowl and producing a lavish commercial that is designed to appeal to all is little more than fodder for an episode of Mad Men.

I just had the opportunity to be a judge in the National Grocers Association Creative Choice Awards, and while I can’t reveal any of the winners until they are announced at their awards ceremony in February, I can tell you that independent grocers, with limited budgets in most cases, are doing some of the most creative and effective advertising during this economic downturn.

Nielsen Wire: But can’t chain stores just point to their prices, which are often better than smaller independent stores?

Phil Lempert:
Ads that only promote price may give a short term bump in sales, but the truth is that advertising that builds a relationship based on what a product or brand stands for and the benefits it offers the customer is more effective in building life-long value. 

My recommendation to chain retailers, in particular, is to examine what smaller grocers are doing with their ad budgets and websites. They may be shocked to find that these less glitzy and more personal ads are stealing their shoppers.

About Phil Lempert
Known as “The Supermarket Guru,” Phil Lempert is one of America’s leading consumer trend-watchers and analysts.  Lempert is the food trends editor and correspondent for NBC News’ Today show, where he reports on consumer trends, food safety, and money-saving tips. He is also a monthly columnist for Progressive Grocer magazine and Gourmet Retailer magazine, and is the host of the weekly new products webcast “5 New Food Products in 5 Minutes: The Hits & Misses.”

1. Consumers Go On Social Media “Diets”
“[In 2008] we impulsively adopted everything from hastily assembled Facebook friends and Twitter followers to groups, apps and widgets, yet rarely revisited them.  In 2009, less may well become the new more,” Blackshaw notes.

2. Marketers Return To Media Basics
“TV will remain a focus because viewership in aggregate is actually going up, so continuing to understand how social media extends and enhances that experience (and sources content in reverse) will be mission critical,” Blackshaw writes.

3. Consumer Intimacy Returns
“2009 will also be the year we rediscover the appeal of living, breathing connections. Our industry research will find that real conversations with consumers, empathetically executed, can yield returns that trump the most sophisticated precision targeting,” Blackshaw notes.

4. Diversity Goes Mainstream
“Diversity will make a notable shift in marketing circles from a peripheral ‘nice to have’ to a ‘must have’ — and there will be a deeper recognition that getting this right is inseparable from competitive advantage.  Expect to see Hispanic marketing notch up to new levels and more nuanced discussion of other minority segments,” Blackshaw writes.

5. Conferences Get Downsized
“In 2009, it will be harder to justify attending industry conferences.  Budget pressure will depress participation and marketers will increasingly get comparable returns from online-enabled events, webinars, on-demand podcasting and iPhone downloads,” Blackshaw notes.

Read the rest of Pete Blackshaw’s 2009 media and marketing predictions in the December installment of his regular Ad Age column.

Already this year, Nielsen witnessed significant year-over-year (ending September 2008) growth in online activities with increases in time spent daily on videos (+46%), blogs (+20%), and e-commerce sites (+17%).

Expect this trend to continue, as well as increases in newer in-home entertainment options such as video vending.

But don’t expect more time spent at home to trigger increased book sales.

Technology-driven gadgets, gizmos, and games will dominate spare-time activities, while U.S. book sales will remain essentially flat, with a modest 1.5% unit growth rate.

Look for a rise, however, in self-help books, as out-of-work consumers look to rediscover themselves.

Read Nielsen’s complete 2009 Industry Outlook in “Consumer Insight.”

View the latest issue of “Consumer Insight.”

Look for less meat to be cut in the store, and more UPC-coded meat to be packaged centrally and sold on the shelf. 

Retailers will need to decide whether they want to compete on price or rely on their butchers and deli counters to create differentiation and customization.

Read Nielsen’s complete 2009 Industry Outlook in “Consumer Insight.”

View the latest issue of “Consumer Insight.”

Look for convenience stores to take the lead on cash discounts, as many already offer lower gas prices for cash purchases.

As other retail channels offer cash discounts, the credit card companies may get enough pressure to reduce fees for retailers.

Read Nielsen’s complete 2009 Industry Outlook in “Consumer Insight.”

View the latest issue of “Consumer Insight.”

Read Nielsen’s complete 2009 Industry Outlook in “Consumer Insight.”

View the latest issue of “Consumer Insight.”

Learn more about 3D movie box office forecasts, via Nielsen PreView.